Wednesday, January 1

Investing Report 2024

2024 Investing Results

Indices:
TSX     +18.0%
DOW   +12.9%
S&P     +23.3%
NAS     +28.6%

Personal: 22.4%
I operate a variety of strategies in my own accounts including some of the plays described below, as well as some BnH (Buy & Hold) of good dividend paying stocks. While this doesn’t offer the blow away possibilities that the index ETF play may produce, it is sufficient for my current needs.

3/8 Rising Tide: 19.0%
This play works on the “Rising Tide” theory using the 3/8 crossover on the weekly chart. 
Note: I have eliminated some sectors (GD, Miners, HC). 
Trading Plan: Plan your trade; trade your plan! 
1. TSX must be IN. 
2. Sector must be IN. Pick best 3 sectors. 
3. Stock must be IN. Pick up to  2 stocks per sector to a max of 5 holdings. 
4. Take a bias toward sectors and stocks that have recently crossed over. 
5. Buy when the 3 crosses over the 8. 
6. Sell when the 8 crosses over the 3. 
7. Also use a 6% TStop on advisory basis.

Index ETFs: 33.3%
Also assessed BnH of index ETFs: 38.6%
X: 34.8%
S: 40.9%
Q: 40.1%
This technical play operates on weekly charting of the 3 and 8 EMAs for each of the leveraged ETFs in question: HXU, HSU, HQU. 
-I buy when the 3EMA rises above the 8EMA on the weekly chart. I watch the charts during the day if it’s getting close and place a buy/sell near the end of the trading day. 
-I sell when the 8EMA moves above the 3EMA, and for additional safety, I watch them against a 6% TStop, but refuse to use a hard Trailing Stop. 
-I also watch the daily charting of the crossovers as an early indicator in reflection of these volatile times! 
-BnH has surpassed the trading strategy two of the three years I’ve been monitoring this, but the other year it lost 40.1%! This year the difference was between 33.3% and 38.6%. I’m willing to accommodate my ability to sleep at night for that potential 5.3% gap! 

5/13 Daily: 16.9%   I have decided to eliminate this play as it tended to gravitate to the same batch of equities as the 3/8 Rising Tide play. 
This technical play operates on daily charting of the 5 and 13 EMAs . The 200 SMA is also used as the criterion for a general uptrend. 
Leveraged ETFs are not considered for this play.  
BUY rules
-During a general uptrend (TSX and equity under consideration both above 200-SMA) I buy the equity when the 5-EMA rises above the 13-EMA. 
-When a buy is imminent, I watch the charts during the day, and place a buy when the value crosses above the 13-EMA
SELL rule 
-I sell when the 5-EMA drops below the 13-EMA. 

I have other plays, but I haven’t used any of them this year. They tend to use more time and require more monitoring. I can manage what I’m currently doing in a few minutes each day, and perhaps another 15 minutes on the weekend. 

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